and a dramatic finish. New York Jets +10000 (bet $10 to win $1010 total), The Jets have the longest playoff drought in the NFL (10 years). Tennessee already has the game's best running back in Derrick Henry and one of the league's best big-play receivers in A.J. Instead, Baltimore is here due to how poorly it played in its Super Bowl win. What should have been a great quarterback matchup Marino vs. Montana turned into a blowout as the Dolphins gunslinger couldnt keep up with the 49ers surgeon. The aforementioned Dilfer-led passing game ranked only 23rd in the regular season (in fairness to Dilfer, he did replace Tony Banks midway through the year), and the only time the chains seemed to move was when rookie Jamal Lewis barreled forward for three or four yards. Christian McCaffrey's return makes the Panthers formidable, as the front office restructured the offensive line. But the outputs are all the same: We're still talking football -- and about the chances of each team's success -- which now includes 17 regular-season games and an expanded playoff field. This team is starting to scratch the surface of its potential. Then Jim was thoroughly outcoached at every point by Sean Payton. Cole Beasley is also a reliable target for Allen, who does as much damage from the outside as well as the slot. Green Bay Packers +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total), The Packers are tied for the second-best odds to win the NFC, but their arduous schedule includes a league-high 10 games against teams that made the playoffs last year. Miamis three points is still the fewest points scored in a Super Bowl. Unfortunately, they had to go head-to-head with arguably the greatest defense of all-time in the '85 Bears. Seriously, the Vikings are never allowed to make another Super Bowl. Los Angeles was a heavy underdog but actually took a lead into the fourth quarter. But hey, they did something right, they were in the Super Bowl. 25. Don't sleep on the rest of the league, of course. Self care and ideas to help you live a healthier, happier life. Ryan Tannehill has been a top five quarterback over the last two seasons and it hasn't been talked about enough. Just when the Falcons appeared to have a team set to contend for a playoff berth in 2021, Atlanta traded Julio Jonesto the Titans for draft picks. Kansas City would be favored by 1.3 points over Tampa Bay on a neutral field if the teams were to suit up for a rematch tomorrow, FPI believes. Putting that unbelievable anecdote aside, the 49ers stumbled into the Super Bowl against the Cincinnati Bengals, and Montana did what Montana seemingly always did. Reeling off 11 straight road wins was impressive, and so was beating the top two seeded teams in the NFC en route to the title game (Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys). In a 122 season, this team only surrendered more than 20 points once during the regular season. Over the past three years, Cousins is seventh in passer rating (103.6), second in completion percentage (69.03), fifth in passing touchdowns (91), and 10th in yards per attempt (7.77). Give them five years to become a dynasty. This Baltimore Colts was coached by Don Shula and averaged 28.7 points per game in the '60s. So their overall grade suffered. This is one of the worst rosters in the league, but Houston (at least) has a chance to win games if Watson plays. That doesn't even sound like a real record, let alone a division winner. And they do return all 11 starters on offense and defense., If they get by the Rams in Week 3, theyll be favored in every game the rest of the way, and youll regret not taking a flier that you can potentially hedge later., 2. But it wasn't always so certain that FPI would give Green Bay the love. Detroit Lions +12500 (bet $10 to win $1260 total), There is a universe in which the Lions ride an inspired Jared Goff and underrated defensive talent to seven or eight wins., But the schedule is brutal six road games against playoff teams from 2020! This game mightve been higher on the list if the Jets hadnt pulled off the AFL-NFL upset the prior season. Even without Wentz, the forecast for that stretch is better than one might guess; on average, the Colts win 2.2 of those games, and the chances that they start 0-5 is just over 1 in 20. Detroit has a young and talented offensive line (average age 24 years old) to protect new quarterback Jared Goffwho is looking to resurrect his career after getting traded by the Los Angeles Rams. and Im sorry, but Dan Campbell is not winning the Super Bowl this year., 30. Denver Broncos +5500 (bet $10 to win $560 total), Yes, this is irrationally high. A really strong offense, but their defense hurt their overall grade since there were less teams in the league. 6. Here are the 10 most likely Super Bowl LV matchups: The Green Bay Packers are clearly Super Bowl contenders. The game that confirmed Joe Flacco was elite. By contrast, FPI is bullish on Cleveland's offense -- which ranks third in the league behind the Chiefs and Packers but ahead of the Bills -- but gives the Browns the 18th-best defense. 55) Super Bowl XLVIII (2013) The 2013 Seahawks were able to take advantage of this game to solidify themselves as an all-time NFL defense. Unfortunately for them, that stopped in the playoffs and in the Super Bowl. Sure, but it did not make for an entertaining game up until the end. The game wasnt nearly as close as the score indicates, though. This may not be the worst championship team of all time, but these Steelers werebarely ataste ofthe greatness that wasto come in the following years. This time, he didnt need a miracle catch to beat New England thanks to his sublime pass to Mario Manningham on the game-winning drive. It has to be the 2016 Atlanta Falcons. Up 28-3 at the end of the third quarter, they couldn't hold off the Patriots in the biggest game of the year The New York team that was crowned champion was far from elite. A 133 record, and a top 5 offense and defense, this was the derailing of a potential dynasty. The game was so bad that the MVP award did not even go to a member of the winning team. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. It was all downhill for Chicago after Devin Hester returned the opening kick for a touchdown. A 15-1 team, losing to the Atlanta Falcons by a single touchdown, the 2015 Carolina Panthers were a dominant offensive force with an underrated defense. One could argue the Steelers have the worst QB in the division in 39-year old Ben Roethlisberger, who had 10 interceptions in the teams final seven games. A fullback even if it was Hall of Famer Larry Csonka winning MVP tells you just how entertaining this one was. On footballs biggest stage we want games featuring memorable teams, star players, plays that well never forget and compelling storylines. The Kansas City Chiefs, winners of Super Bowl 57, are the favorites at +600. The Ravens and Browns rank fourth and sixth in FPI rating -- basically true talent level -- but are fifth and seventh in chances to reach the playoffs and win the Super Bowl, respectively. Take note: This isn't technically a ranking of the teams from very worst to very best, although the worse teams tend to be toward the bottom and the better teams toward the top. 20. Terrell Davis three-touchdown game won him MVP honors. It was easily the sloppiest Super Bowl of all-time. This team just wasn't ready yet. That's ridiculous. The Cowboys first Super Bowl win was a snooze-fest. Green and Rondale Moore at wide receiver. Atlanta Falcons +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total), New coach, new offensive coordinator just too much newness for me., That being said, going 2-8 in one-score games last year was a killer, and if the ball bounces differently in 2021, maybe theyre hovering around .500. ), and every Texans opponent's win total is inflated for the same reason. Seattle came in with the leagues best defense. It truly is a remarkable tale, but the Patriots were nothing special on the way there. And to help you out, we ranked all 32 teams ahead of this season by the value on the odds they'll win the Super Bowl.. Sign up for the For The Win newsletter to get our top stories in your inbox every morning. Wait, Dilfer isn't iconic. The Cardinals added more playmakers to surround Murray this offseason with A.J. That they have to play each other twice and are vying for the same divisional crown are limiting factors when it comes to win total and a chance to earn the coveted top seed in the AFC. Kind of. Here are the 10 teams most likely to win Super Bowl LV: Kansas City vs. Tampa Bay is still not that likely, however. Jets, vs. Eagles, vs. Lions, vs. Bengals and a home-and-home with the Raiders. section: | slug: ranking-12-teams-that-never-won-a-super-bowl-by-best-chance-to-win-title-in-2021-high-hopes-in-buffalo | sport: football | route: article_single.us | Let's start in the 1980s, with a team led by Hall of Famers like Joe Montana, Jerry Rice and Steve Young For a franchise that was so consistently dominant in the 1980s, the 1988 version of the San Francisco 49ers sure seems mediocre. That's right, a team with Jerry Rice had a running back gain more receiving yards. The teams combined for 11 turnovers. The game was won with Ben Roethlisbergers perfect pass to Santonio Holmes, who somehow got two feet down in the back of the end zone. It has been updated to include Super Bowl LII. Buffalo is in position to make another deep playoff run this season. Which one is the most likely to remove itself from this dubious list? Fran Tarkenton is one of many players on this list that deserved a Super Bowl ring. So why are they lower value-wise? If the Saints slip a bit, there's a spot open for the Panthers to take a leap in 2021. The one Peyton let get away. But the rest of the roster is important, too. How much this defense will improve under first-year head coach Brandon Staley will be an indicator whether the Chargers are playoff-caliber. This was a great Super Bowl, but can we stop saying the Titans were one yard short of winning it? Detroit has some work to do on the defensive side of the ball, a monumental task for new defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn (gave up a league-worst 112.4 passer rating to opposing quarterbacks in 2020). Who do you think was the best team to not win a Super Bowl. Arizona has the potential to shock the NFL and win 11-plus games, emerging victorious in a strong NFC West. Los Angeles Rams +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total). Before arriving at FOX, he created the website The Big Lead, which he sold in 2010. This game will be remembered for two plays: The surprise onside kick to start the second half and Tracy Porters game-sealing pick-6 of Manning. In the Super Bowl, Pittsburgh managed just 16 points and won a defensive slugfest 16-6. 5 offense. If Atlanta can create holes up front for free agent signing Mike Davis, the Falcons offense may be good enough to carry a defense that needs some work. For starters, the NFC has nine road games this season, so a team from that conference was always likely to occupy the top spot. The Kansas City Chiefs might have lost Super Bowl LV, but they are still the NFL team to beat this season, according to the new ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) projections for 2021. A very good defense led by Andre Tippett and Steve Nelson. This Super Bowl gave us a bunch of memorable performances. Dan Marino's lone Super Bowl and this team was his best shot. While Kansas City's 19% chance to win the Super Bowl might be more than any other team's, FPI is also saying that there's a 4-in-5 chance that a team other than the Chiefs will win the Super Bowl. There were 11 total turnovers in the game and the Cowboys took it one step further with a Super Bowl-record 10 penalties. In the playoffs, Indianapolis Colts kicker Mike Vanderjagt had to have a meltdown of epic proportions to send the Steelers to the Conference Championship and cover up for Bettis' fumble earlier in the contest. Oh, if they only handed the ball off the Marshawn Lynch. 3. This game did feature one of the best defenses in NFL history, but watching it dismantle a Kerry Collins-led offense wasnt all that exciting. Some may argue this should be higher than third, but, before Scott Norwoods infamous miss, the Giants and Bills did not give us a very exciting game. The worst of the Bills Super Bowl teams at 115, but Jim Kelly and Thurman Thomas still elevated them offensively. 5.
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