While I had less reporting on this, high turnout was also reported in the red parts of the state, too. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. Voters will also nominate candidates for Congress and the state Legislature. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? In recent years the state government has moved from purple with a democratic governor and a republican legislature with a modest majority, to fire engine red. Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. These are general election results for the years listed. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. An even more detailed precinct-by-precinct breakdown demonstrates that in many cases, large cities voted for Obama, and their suburbs were divided. How red or blue is your state? The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. Partly as a result of this eventual and near-universal color-coding, the terms "red states" and "blue states" entered popular use in the weeks after the 2000 presidential election. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? But look, this is what PA elected officials told us could happen for months. A new, lower flat income tax rate will take effect in 2023. With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. The state is widely considered blue-leaning, a trend which moves parallel with the growth of the Washington D.C. and Richmond suburbs. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. In Maine, two of the four electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's two congressional districts. [41][note 1][42]. In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. Not one! Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. - Matter of Fact with Soledad O'Brien Perhaps no one is better at understanding Pennsylvania voters than former Governor Ed Rendell. [57], The scheme has found acceptance and implementation from the U.S. federal government as the Federal Election Commission report for the 2004 presidential election uses the red-Republican and blue-Democratic scheme for its electoral map. Is Missouri a red state? Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. Are You with Someone Whos Been Cookin for Decades? We're not going to get a call out ofPennsylvania. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. If . Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. Thats a point that they made. Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. There was an error processing your request. Iapologize.). The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. In fact, he said, some states may experience a "red shift," and even Pennsylvania's blue shift may change in the future as different voters adapt to the new absentee ballot system and counties that used to process them on election night stop doing so. Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. Various different maps, such as ones which coded states based on the strength of their support for one candidate or another, ones which gave results based on county, or ones which displayed states according to the size of their population, were proposed as correctives to this perceived flaw. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. Holly Trump's team really focused on Biden's fracking comments for the last couple weeks, convinced that they could make all the difference in Pennsylvania. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". List Of Blue States And Red States In The United States (2023), List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF, Presidents Of The United States Of America In Chronological Order, Who Is The Secretary Of Defense In The United States, List Of US Senators State Wise (2023 Updated), List Of Airports In The US (United States) With IATA & ICAO, Secretary General Of The United Nations (2023 Updated), 250+ Measuring Devices And Instruments (2023 Updated), List Of All Social Networking Sites And Their Founders (2023), List Of All Commercial Airports In India (2023 Updated), List Of Prime Minister Of Italy (2023 Updated). Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. In a 2020 update from the Rockefeller Institute, the disparity between traditional blue and red states is even more significant, especially for the state of New York, Republicans' favorite target . MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse, Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. But, in the coming days, Pennsylvania underwent what has come to be known as a "blue shift." Democrats had requested more mail-in ballots than Republicans had by a margin of two to one. The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. That solved the problem. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. 2020 Electoral Map Results. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. The most significant difference between blue and red states occurred from late June to early August. polls closed in Calif., Idaho, Ore., Wash. polls closed in Ariz., Colo., Kan., La., Mich., Minn., Neb., N.M., N.Y., N.D., S.D., Texas, Wis., Wyo. Purple states are also often referred to as "battleground" states. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. Updated on July 09, 2019 Our list of the most conservative states to live and work featured states favorable to people who enjoy greater liberties, educational choice, right-to-work status, and religious freedom. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. Further, all election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as the ecological fallacy. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. In September, just eight states had. But Pennsylvania is now red. We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? But maps that color entire counties red or blue can dupe viewers: they make both states . Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. Same for GA senate races Charlie. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . [47][48][49] A different poll that same year grouped the United States into five geographic regions, and found that 37% of Americans favored secession of their own region. The demographic and political applications of the terms have resulted in a temptation to presume this arbitrary classification is a definite and fundamental cultural division. However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. (PA, GA, MI)". This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. These states often had more regulations and higher taxes. And then, like Anita, I am watching to see how POTUS reacts. Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). The. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. Nevertheless, both parties have adopted logos that use their respective colors i.e., a blue D for Democrats and a white GOP with a red elephant for Republicans. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Explained! [1] The feature proved to be so popular that, four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. These county-by-county and district-by-district maps reveal that the true nature of the divide is between urban areas and inner suburbs and rural and exurban areas. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. Former Governor Ed Rendell gives his take. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. Vice versa for Montana. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. Biden's projected win in the state was fueled by significant gains in already-blue counties, including Atlanta (Fulton County) and its suburbs. PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to . The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. He held his own in . All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. Hi everyone from D.C.! Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. More than a . Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. As a result, the blue counties tend to be the smaller ones so blue is visually less represented than it should be based on vote totals. . With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) So, assuming NYT's 98%+ reporting estimate is correct, Trump got more raw votes out of Washington County like he wanted quite a bit more. 10. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . #V. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. It delivered a big margin for Clinton in2016. Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the 2020 presidential election. The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. These are general election results for the years listed. While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. V4 Stands Against North African and Middle Eastern Invasion, Robo-Advisors: When You Have a Lot More to Lose than Money, FARM AMERICA: New York Citys Finest Cheesemongers, The Fed Independent and Non Political Joins The Resistance, Tucker Carlson Interviews My Favorite Florida Farmer. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. )Voters spoiled mail-in ballots at high rates, and some poll workers were confused about how to process those ballots. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, 284,931 cast by those registered as no affiliation/third party/other, About 548,000 mail-in ballots have not been returned as of now but if they are postmarked by Election Day (or there is not a "preponderance of evidence" they were sent after) and received within three days, the state Supreme Court said they must be counted. [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. That march then met Hillary Clinton's 'blue wall' states which, at one time, included Pennsylvania. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. This election cycle, according to Politico, the state is leaning slightly blue. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. 30,000+ mail ballots a teeny tiny fraction of the 2.5 million received as of this morning in the state were just reported in Pennsylvania. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. Anita What do you want to know? Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. Same caution about borders applies. The look of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices. hoffmeister obituaries, the five laws of feminine power pdf,
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